This study in intravenous drug users (IVDUs) investigated differences in serum soluble tumor necrosis factor types I and II (sTNFR-I and II) concentrations in HIV-1-infected IVDUs and controls. This study also investigated whether changes of sTNFRs concentration affect the risk of death among patients with AIDS. A cross-sectional study of 54 subjects with AIDS, 47 HIV-seropositive IVDUs, 47 HIV-seronegative IVDUs, and 21 healthy subjects showed that sTNFRs concentration increases from healthy controls to AIDS patients through HIV-seronegative and HIV-seropositive subjects (p < 0.01). sTNFR-I concentration, however, was shown to be similar in HIV-seronegative IVDUs and healthy controls. In the longitudinal study, serum concentration of sTNFRs was determined near AIDS diagnosis in 21 IVDUs and 1 year later (start for the survival study). Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to assess the prognostic value of percent change of sTNFR level alone and in combination with T lymphocyte subsets, HIV-p24 antigenemia and opportunistic infections for death within 240 days. Uni- and multivariate Cox modelling for dichotomised variables according to its median showed an increase of sTNFR-II by at least 30% to be single significant predictor of death: crude relative risk 3.69, p = 0.03; adjusted relative risk 5.67, p = 0.02. Mean survival was 126 days in 11 patients whose sTNFR-II level increased by at least 30%, and 176 days in 10 patients with less change in sTNFR-II (p = 0.02).
Conclusions: sTNFRs concentration is higher in IVDUs than in healthy controls and is highest in AIDS patients. Survival of patients with AIDS is associated with variation in the concentration of sTNFR-II.