1-year survey of patients with advanced liver cirrhosis. Prognostic value of clinical and laboratory indexes identified by the Cox regression model

Scand J Gastroenterol. 1992 Oct;27(10):852-6. doi: 10.3109/00365529209000153.

Abstract

The relation between coagulation indexes and survival rate was studied and analyzed in 46 patients with advanced liver cirrhosis (grade B and C Child-Pugh Classification), during a follow-up of 1 year. Twenty-four patients (52%) died of liver failure or fatal haemorrhage within 12 months of follow-up. Prothrombin activity, fibrinogen, fibrin(ogen) degradation products, prekallikrein and factor VII, serum bilirubin, and the degree of liver insufficiency, scored by Child-Pugh classification, proved to be significantly correlated with survival by univariate analysis. A multivariate survival analysis (Cox regression model) disclosed two variables, prekallikrein and factor VII, that predicted survival. The rate ratios of death increased to 2.8 and 7.6 with values of prekallikrein < 26% and factor VII < 39%, respectively. This study shows that some simple laboratory tests exploring the clotting system may identify patients with poor prognosis in severe liver failure.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Blood Coagulation Tests / standards*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hospitals, University
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Liver Cirrhosis / blood*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / mortality
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Severity of Illness Index*
  • Survival Analysis
  • Survival Rate