Single serum activin a testing to predict ectopic pregnancy

J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2007 May;92(5):1748-53. doi: 10.1210/jc.2006-2188. Epub 2007 Mar 6.

Abstract

Context: Ectopic pregnancy (EP) is an important cause of maternal deaths in early pregnancy because most fatal cases result from delayed diagnosis and inappropriate investigation.

Objective: We evaluated whether the measurement of activin A may be useful in the diagnosis of EP in women with unknown pregnancy location.

Design: The study was designed as an open observational study.

Setting: The study was set in a tertiary referral center for obstetric care.

Patients: Patients were women with unknown pregnancy location (n = 536) who had complaints of bleeding, pain, or cramping.

Interventions: Interventions included clinical examination; transvaginal ultrasound scan; human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), progesterone, and activin A measurements; laparoscopy; uterine curettage; and histological examination.

Main outcome measures: Main outcome measures were pregnancy outcomes and evaluation of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of hCG, progesterone, and activin A as diagnostic tests for the detection of EP.

Results: Pregnancy outcomes included 155 (28.9%) viable intrauterine pregnancies (IUP), 305 (56.9%) first-trimester spontaneous abortion (SAB), and 76 (14.2%) EP. SAB had the lowest (P < 0.0001) hCG and progesterone concentrations, significantly lower than EP (P < 0.001) and IUP (P < 0.001). In EP, levels were significantly (P < 0.001) lower than in IUP. On the contrary, activin A levels were lowest (P < 0.0001) in EP, significantly lower than in SAB (P < 0.001) and IUP (P < 0.001). IUP had significantly (P < 0.001) lower activin A levels than SAB. When evaluated by the receiver operating curve analysis, activin A at the cutoff of 0.37 ng/ml combined a sensitivity and a specificity of 100 and 99.6%, respectively, for prediction of EP. When activin A concentrations were below the cutoff, the positive predictive value for EP was 97.43%, and 0% for concentrations higher than 0.37 ng/ml.

Conclusions: Activin A measurement may identify patients at risk of EP with a high sensibility and specificity.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Activins / blood*
  • Adult
  • Chorionic Gonadotropin / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy Outcome
  • Pregnancy, Ectopic / blood*
  • Pregnancy, Ectopic / diagnosis*
  • Progesterone / blood
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve

Substances

  • Chorionic Gonadotropin
  • activin A
  • Activins
  • Progesterone