Background: Autonomic dysfunction tends to improve over time after acute myocardial infarction (MI), but the clinical significance of autonomic remodeling is not well known.
Objective: The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that the amount of recovery of autonomic function early after MI is associated with a risk for serious arrhythmias.
Methods: The prognostic significance of autonomic remodeling after MI was assessed in one post-MI cohort [Cardiac Arrhythmia and Risk Stratification after Myocardial Infarction (CARISMA)] and validated in a second cohort [Risk Estimation After Infarction, Noninvasive Evaluation (REFINE)]. Changes in heart rate variability (DeltaHRV) and heart rate turbulence (DeltaHRT) were measured from 24-hour ECG recordings performed early (5-21 days) and later (6 weeks) after MI in CARISMA (n = 312). DeltaHRV and DeltaHRT were similarly measured from early (2-4 weeks) and later (10-14 weeks) post-MI recordings in REFINE (n = 322).
Results: HRV and HRT increased over time in both cohorts. Attenuated recovery of autonomic function, defined as DeltaHRT slope <2.0 ms/RR, was associated with a 9.4-fold (95% confidence interval 1.2-71.6; P = .03) higher risk of ECG-documented sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation in CARISMA and a 7.0-fold (95% confidence interval 1.6-29.6; P = .009) higher risk of fatal or near-fatal events in REFINE. Changes in HRV and HRT were not predictive of nonarrhythmic death in either cohort.
Conclusion: Attenuated recovery of autonomic function early after MI consistently predicts a higher risk of fatal or near-fatal arrhythmic events. A lack of improvement in HRT early after MI appears to be a specific marker for serious arrhythmic events.