A contemporary analysis of survival for resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

HPB (Oxford). 2013 Jan;15(1):49-60. doi: 10.1111/j.1477-2574.2012.00571.x. Epub 2012 Sep 24.

Abstract

Introduction: Survival after a resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) appears to be improving. Yet, in spite of advancements, prognosis remains disappointing. This study analyses a contemporary experience and identifies features associated with survival.

Methods: Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted for 424 PDAC resections performed at two institutions (2001-2011). Multivariate analysis was performed to elicit characteristics independently associated with survival.

Results: The median, 1-, and 5-year survivals were 21.3 m, 76%, and 23%, with 30/90-day mortalities of 0.7%/1.7%. 76% of patients received adjuvant therapy. Patients with major complications (Clavien Grade IIIb-IV) survived equivalently to patients with no complications (P = 0.33). The median and 5-year survival for a total pancreatectomy was 32.2 m/49%; for 90 'favourable biology' patients (R0/N0/M0) was 37.3 m/40%; and for IPMN (9% of series) was 21.2 m/46%. Elderly (>75 yo) and nonelderly patients had similar survival. Favorable prognostic features by multivariate analysis include lower POSSUM physiology score, R0 resection, absence of operative transfusion, G1/G2 grade, absence of lymphovascular invasion, T1/T2 stage, smaller tumor size, LN ratio <0.3, and receipt of adjuvant therapy.

Conclusion: This experience with resected PDAC shows decreasing morbidity and mortality rates along with modestly improving long-term survival, particularly for certain subgroups of patients. Survival is related to pathological features, pre-operative physiology, operative results and adjuvant therapy.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Boston / epidemiology
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / mortality*
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / pathology
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / surgery*
  • Chemoradiotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoadjuvant Therapy
  • Pancreatectomy / adverse effects
  • Pancreatectomy / mortality*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / pathology
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Pancreaticoduodenectomy / adverse effects
  • Pancreaticoduodenectomy / mortality*
  • Philadelphia / epidemiology
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome