New prognostic score for the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Surg Today. 2014 May;44(5):875-83. doi: 10.1007/s00595-013-0628-z. Epub 2013 Jun 20.

Abstract

Purpose: Recent studies have shown that the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), which is an inflammation-based prognostic score, is useful as a prognostic index for some cancer cases. The purpose of this study was to create a prognostic scoring system for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) that was more independent and sensitive than the mGPS.

Methods: One hundred sixty-eight patients who had undergone esophagectomy for ESCC were included in the study. The new mGPS (NmGPS) was calculated based on the following cutoff values: CRP >0.75 mg/dL indicated NmGPS 1 or 2, depending on the absence or presence of hypoalbuminemia (<3.5 g/dL); and CRP ≤0.75 mg/dL indicated NmGPS 0. We also performed an analysis based on cutoff values of 0.5 and 0.25 mg/dL for CRP.

Results: Only the NmGPS with a cutoff CRP value of 0.5 mg/dL was able to divide into three independent patient groups in the survival curves. In the multivariate analyses, a NmGPS (CRP cutoff; 0.5 mg/dL) of 2 was a more significant independent prognostic factor (HR 4.437, 95 % CI 2.000-9.844, p = 0.0002) than a mGPS of 2 (HR 2.726, 95 % CI 1.021-7.112, p = 0.0449).

Conclusions: The new prognostic score NmGPS (CRP cutoff; 0.5 mg/dL) was more independent and sensitive than the mGPS for patients with ESCC.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • C-Reactive Protein
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / mortality*
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / surgery*
  • Esophageal Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Esophageal Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Esophagectomy
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypoalbuminemia
  • Inflammation / diagnosis
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Prognosis
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • C-Reactive Protein