A prospective study of growth and rupture risk of small-to-moderate size ascending aortic aneurysms

J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2014 Jan;147(1):68-74. doi: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2013.06.030. Epub 2013 Aug 15.

Abstract

Objective: The natural history of small-to-moderate size ascending aortic aneurysms is poorly understood. To follow these patients better, we have developed a method to objectively and reproducibly measure ascending aortic volume on the basis of gated contrast computed tomography scans.

Methods: From 2009 to 2011, 507 patients were referred for management of ascending aortic aneurysms. A total of 232 patients (46%) with small-to-moderate size aneurysms who did not have compelling indications for operation had measurement(s) of ascending aortic and total aortic volume; 166 patients had more than 1 scan, allowing measurement of growth. A total of 66 patients admitted to the emergency department without ascending aortic pathology served as a reference group.

Results: None of the patients experienced rupture, dissection, or death; 3 patients ultimately underwent operation. Ascending aortic volume and volume/total aortic volume differed for the surveillance and reference groups: 132.8 ± 39.4 mL versus 78.0 ± 24.5 mL; 38.3% ± 7.4% versus 29.1% ± 3.9%, respectively (both P < .001). Diameters at the sinotubular junction and mid-ascending aortic were 4.1 ± 0.6 cm and 4.4 ± 0.6 cm, respectively, for the surveillance group and 3.0 ± 0.4 cm and 3.2 ± 0.4 cm, respectively, for controls. The increase in ascending aortic volume was 0.95 ± 4.5 mL/year and 0.73% ± 3.7%/year (P = .007 and .012, respectively). Analysis of risk factors for ascending aortic growth revealed only the use of antithrombotic medication as possibly significant.

Conclusions: Computed tomography volume measurements provide an objective method for ascertaining aortic size and monitoring expansion. Patients with small-to-moderate ascending aortic aneurysms who are carefully followed and managed appropriately have slow aneurysm growth and a small risk of rupture or dissection. Annual computed tomography screening may not be indicated, and elective resection-absent other surgical indications-is not necessary. The rupture/dissection risk for even larger aneurysms in carefully followed patients may be lower than currently believed.

Keywords: 26.1; 3; 36.1; AA; CT; SD; SE; ascending aortic; computed tomography; standard deviation; standard error.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Anticoagulants / therapeutic use
  • Aorta / pathology*
  • Aortic Aneurysm / complications*
  • Aortic Aneurysm / diagnostic imaging
  • Aortic Aneurysm / pathology
  • Aortic Aneurysm / therapy
  • Aortic Rupture / diagnostic imaging
  • Aortic Rupture / etiology*
  • Aortic Rupture / pathology
  • Aortic Rupture / therapy
  • Aortography / methods*
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Fibrinolytic Agents / therapeutic use
  • Humans
  • Least-Squares Analysis
  • Linear Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*
  • Vascular Surgical Procedures

Substances

  • Anticoagulants
  • Fibrinolytic Agents