Who stays, who benefits? Predicting dropout and change in cognitive behaviour therapy for psychosis

Psychiatry Res. 2014 May 15;216(2):198-205. doi: 10.1016/j.psychres.2014.02.012. Epub 2014 Feb 19.

Abstract

This study investigates the predictors of outcome in a secondary analysis of dropout and completer data from a randomized controlled effectiveness trial comparing CBTp to a wait-list group (Lincoln et al., 2012). Eighty patients with DSM-IV psychotic disorders seeking outpatient treatment were included. Predictors were assessed at baseline. Symptom outcome was assessed at post-treatment and at 1-year follow-up. The predictor×group interactions indicate that a longer duration of disorder predicted less improvement in negative symptoms in the CBTp but not in the wait-list group whereas jumping-to-conclusions was associated with poorer outcome only in the wait-list group. There were no CBTp specific predictors of improvement in positive symptoms. However, in the combined sample (immediate CBTp+the delayed CBTp group) baseline variables predicted significant amounts of positive and negative symptom variance at post-therapy and 1-year follow-up after controlling for pre-treatment symptoms. Lack of insight and low social functioning were the main predictors of drop-out, contributing to a prediction accuracy of 87%. The findings indicate that higher baseline symptom severity, poorer functioning, neurocognitive deficits, reasoning biases and comorbidity pose no barrier to improvement during CBTp. However, in line with previous predictor-research, the findings imply that patients need to receive treatment earlier.

Keywords: Adherence; CBT; Dropout; Predictors; Psychosis; Schizophrenia.

Publication types

  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cognitive Behavioral Therapy*
  • Comorbidity
  • Female
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Compliance / psychology
  • Patient Compliance / statistics & numerical data
  • Patient Dropouts / psychology*
  • Patient Dropouts / statistics & numerical data
  • Psychotic Disorders / psychology*
  • Psychotic Disorders / therapy*
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Social Adjustment
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Waiting Lists
  • Young Adult