Weighing the risks: Thrombotic and bleeding events in adults with atrial arrhythmias and congenital heart disease

Int J Cardiol. 2015:186:315-20. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.02.024. Epub 2015 Mar 11.

Abstract

Introduction: Atrial arrhythmias are associated to thromboembolism and anticoagulant treatment is installed according to risk profile. This study aimed to assess the rate of thrombotic events and major bleedings in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) and atrial arrhythmias, as well as to determine the predictive value of specific clinical features and two risk scores for thromboembolism and bleeding.

Methods and results: In this retrospective study, a total of 229 adult CHD patients with atrial arrhythmias, were included. Incidence and risk factors of thromboembolism were assessed in patients without a mechanical valve (n = 191), whereas bleeding incidence and risk factors were studied in patients receiving vitamin K antagonists (n = 164). In 13 patients without a mechanical valve thrombotic events occurred, the first thrombotic event rate per year being 1.4%. A total of 29 patients on vitamin K antagonists suffered from major bleedings, at an annual first event rate of 4.4%. CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score predicted thromboembolic and bleeding risk best in a dichotomized form. At a cut-off of ≥ 2 for high risk the rate of thrombotic events was 3.0% per year compared to 0.7% for a score of <2 (HR 3.7; 95%-CI 1.2-11.5; p = 0.021). A major bleeding rate of 10.8% per year was found in patients on vitamin K antagonists for HAS-BLED ≥ 2 as opposed to 3.5% with a score of <2 (HR 2.6; 95%-CI: 1.1-6.6; 0.017).

Conclusion: In adult CHD patients, thrombotic events and major bleedings are important complications of atrial arrhythmias and anticoagulant treatment. Assessment of thromboembolic and bleeding risk in this patients group can be performed with dichotomized CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores respectively.

Keywords: Anticoagulants; Arrhythmias, cardiac; Atrial fibrillation; Heart defects, congenital; Hemorrhage; Thromboembolism.

Publication types

  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Atrial Fibrillation / complications*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / complications*
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / epidemiology
  • Hemorrhage / epidemiology
  • Hemorrhage / etiology*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate / trends
  • Thrombosis / epidemiology
  • Thrombosis / etiology*