A 15-year retrospective analysis of prognostic factors in childhood bacterial meningitis

Acta Paediatr. 2016 Jan;105(1):e22-9. doi: 10.1111/apa.13228. Epub 2015 Nov 16.

Abstract

Aim: This retrospective chart review aimed to identify factors in childhood bacterial meningitis that predicted disease severity and long-term outcome.

Methods: The study included 112 episodes of microbiologically confirmed bacterial meningitis in children aged three days to 15 years who were admitted to a Singapore hospital from 1998 to 2013.

Results: The mortality rate was 6%, and 44% required intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Predictive factors associated with ICU admission included pneumococcal meningitis, with an odds ratio (OR) of 5.2 and 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.5-18.2, leukopenia (OR 5.6, 95% CI 1.7-17.9) and a cerebrospinal fluid (CSF):serum glucose ratio <0.25 (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.4-14.4). An initial CSF white blood cell count >1000/mm(3) (OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.086-0.76) was negatively associated with ICU admission. Five years after meningitis, 32% had residual sequelae, and the associated prognostic factors were Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) meningitis (OR 29.5, 95% CI 2-429), seizures during their inpatient stay (OR 10.6, 95% CI 1.9-60.2) and septic shock (OR 8.4, 95% CI 1.1-62.1).

Conclusion: As mortality was low in this bacterial meningitis study, ICU admission was used as a marker of disease severity. These findings underscore the importance of the pneumococcal and Hib meningitis vaccines.

Keywords: Bacterial meningitis; Disease severity; Paediatric; Prognostic factors; Sequelae.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Critical Care / statistics & numerical data
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections / complications
  • Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections / diagnosis*
  • Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections / mortality
  • Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections / therapy
  • Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections / complications
  • Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections / diagnosis*
  • Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections / mortality
  • Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections / therapy
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / complications
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / diagnosis*
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / mortality
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / therapy
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Singapore / epidemiology