Postoperative early ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen identifies patients at risk for biochemical recurrence in margin positive prostate cancers: a single-center study

Jpn J Clin Oncol. 2017 Jan;47(1):74-79. doi: 10.1093/jjco/hyw150. Epub 2016 Oct 12.

Abstract

Objective: To identify predictors for biochemical recurrence among patients with positive surgical margins (RM1) after radical prostatectomy and to examine the effect of ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen measured early after prostatectomy on biochemical recurrence.

Methods: We identified 705 patients with prostate cancer who were treated with radical prostatectomy without preoperative hormonal therapy at our institution between 2000 and 2014. The patients with RM1 who had a postoperative prostate-specific antigen <0.2 ng/ml without lymph node metastasis were evaluated for biochemical recurrence-free survival. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis. The prediction of biochemical recurrence was assessed using area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic.

Results: Among the 705 patients, 190 (27%) had RM1. Biochemical recurrence was evaluated in 164 patients, excluding 26 patients who underwent adjuvant therapy with or without lymph node metastasis. With a median follow-up of 55 months, the biochemical recurrence-free survival rate of the entire RM1 cohort was 78% at 2 years and 64% at 4 years. The multivariate analysis revealed that postoperative early ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen >0.02 ng/ml was the significant risk factor for biochemical recurrence (hazard ratio 13.10). Meanwhile, the patients with postoperative early ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen <0.01 ng/ml had a significantly lower risk for biochemical recurrence (hazard ratio 0.12). Area under the curve for the postoperative early ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen value to predict biochemical recurrence was 0.789.

Conclusions: The ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigen value measured early after prostatectomy was the potent predictor of biochemical recurrence among the patients with RM1.

Keywords: biochemical recurrence; positive surgical margin; prostate cancer; prostate-specific antigen; prostatectomy.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Area Under Curve
  • Disease Progression
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
  • Postoperative Period
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prostate-Specific Antigen / blood*
  • Prostatectomy
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / mortality
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / surgery
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Prostate-Specific Antigen