Can we predict new AF occurrence in single-chamber ICD patients? Insights from an observational investigation

Int J Cardiol. 2017 Mar 1:230:275-280. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2016.12.126. Epub 2016 Dec 22.

Abstract

Background: Atrial tachyarrhythmias (AT/AF) have been associated with an increased risk of mortality, morbidity and ischemic stroke. Up to now, single chamber ICD diagnostics was not able to detect AT/AF, therefore the incidence of new onset AT/AF in patients with single chamber ICD is not known.

Objective: To evaluate incidence and predictors of AT/AF occurrence in patients with dual-chamber ICD with no pacing indications and no history of AT/AF that strictly mimic single chamber ICD recipient.

Methods & results: Consecutive dual-chamber ICD patients were prospectively followed by 47 Italian cardiologic centers in an observational research. Clinical and device data were reviewed by expert cardiologists to assess AT/AF occurrence. Multivariate regression analysis evaluated the risk of new-onset AT/AF and its association with patients' baseline characteristics and with CHADS2 score. 428 (13.4% female, 64years old) patients were followed for a median observation period of 31months. AT/AF episodes occurred in 160 (37.4%) patients when considering at least 5min duration, in 95 (22.2%) for AT/AF ≥6h, in 47 (11.0%) for AT/AF ≥1day, in 29 (6.8%) for AT/AF ≥7days. Patients with CHADS2≥2, who comprised 36% of the whole population, showed higher incidence of AT/AF ≥6h compared with patients with CHADS2<2 (Hazard Ratio=1.69, 95% Confidence Interval=1.13-2.53, p=0.011).

Conclusions: Our observations in a population of dual-chamber ICD patients with no pacing indications and no history of AT/AF, who strictly mimic single-chamber ICD recipients, highlight that AT/AF episodes occurred in the 37.5% of the population and CHADS2 score is predictive of new-onset AT/AF.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Atrial fibrillation diagnosis, single chamber defibrillator; CHADS(2) score.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Atrial Fibrillation / epidemiology
  • Atrial Fibrillation / therapy*
  • Defibrillators, Implantable
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Atria / physiopathology*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Recurrence
  • Time Factors