Risk-adjusted regional outcomes in elective medicare colorectal surgery

Am J Surg. 2018 Mar;215(3):430-433. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2017.09.005. Epub 2017 Sep 20.

Abstract

Background: Regional differences in utilization of services in healthcare are commonly understood, but risk-adjusted evaluation of outcomes has not been done.

Methods: Risk-adjusted adverse outcomes (AOs) for elective Medicare colorectal resections were studied for 2012-2014. Risk-adjusted metrics were inpatient deaths, prolonged postoperative length-of-stay, 90-day post-discharge deaths, and 90-day relevant post-discharge readmissions. The nine Census Bureau regions of the U.S. were evaluated by using standard deviations of predicted adverse outcomes to evaluate observed versus expected events.

Results: Overall AO rate was 24.3% from 86,624 patients in 1497 hospitals. Region 9 (Pacific) had the best outcomes (z-score = -3.06; risk-adjusted AO rate = 22.9%) and Region 1 (New England) the poorest (z-score = +1.86; risk-adjusted AO rate = 25.4%).

Conclusions: A 4.9 SD difference exists among the best and poorest performing regions in risk-adjusted colorectal surgery outcomes. Alternative Payment Models should consider regional benchmarks as a variable for the evaluation of quality and pricing of episodes of care.

Keywords: 90-Day readmissions; Colorectal resections; Complications in colorectal surgery; Post-operative mortality rates; Risk-adjusted outcomes.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Colectomy* / standards
  • Elective Surgical Procedures*
  • Female
  • Healthcare Disparities / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Medicare*
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care*
  • Proctectomy* / standards
  • Risk Adjustment*
  • United States