Computed Tomography Findings as a Novel Predictor of Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis Outcomes

Dig Dis Sci. 2020 Jan;65(1):312-321. doi: 10.1007/s10620-019-05721-4. Epub 2019 Jul 30.

Abstract

Background: Accurate prediction of outcomes for alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is critical, as prognosis determines treatment eligibility. Computed tomography (CT) features may provide prognostic information beyond traditional models.

Aims: Our aim was to identify CT features that predict outcomes in AH.

Methods: We studied 108 patients retrospectively with definite or probable AH, who underwent admission abdominal CT. A radiologist blinded to outcome evaluated eight CT features. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality.

Results: Twenty-five (23.2%) patients died within 90 days. While traditional prognostic tools, including Maddrey discriminant function (DF), predicted 90-day mortality (OR 1.01 [1.00, 1.03], P = 0.02), abdominal CT findings were also accurate predictors. On abdominal CT, patients with severe AH had larger volume of ascites (moderate/large volume: 34.0 vs. 8.2%, P < 0.0001), longer liver length (17.1 vs. 15.1 cm, P = 0.001), greater liver heterogeneity (moderate/severe: 21.3 vs. 8.2%, P = 0.007), and more likely to have splenomegaly (42.6 vs. 18.0%, P = 0.009) than those with mild AH. Univariate analysis revealed that ascites volume (OR 2.59 [1.35, 4.96], P = 0.004) predicted 90-day mortality. In multivariate analysis, degree of ascites predicted 90-day mortality when controlling for Maddrey DF (OR 2.36 [1.19, 4.69], P = 0.01) and trended toward significance when controlling for MELD score (OR 2.02 [0.95, 4.30], P = 0.07).

Conclusion: CT findings in AH differentiate disease severity and predict 90-day mortality; therefore, the role of CT warrants further investigation as a tool in AH management.

Keywords: Alcohol liver disease; CT Scan; Hepatology; Intravenous contrast; Prognostication.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Female
  • Hepatitis, Alcoholic / complications
  • Hepatitis, Alcoholic / diagnostic imaging*
  • Hepatitis, Alcoholic / mortality
  • Hepatitis, Alcoholic / therapy
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Admission
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Registries
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Time Factors
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*