Using GIS, geostatistics and Fuzzy logic to study spatial structure of sedimentary total PAHs and potential eco-risks; An Eastern Persian Gulf case study

Mar Pollut Bull. 2019 Dec:149:110489. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2019.110489. Epub 2019 Aug 16.

Abstract

GIS, geo-statistics and autocorrelation analysis were employed to reveal spatial structure of sedimentary ∑16PAHs. Global Moran's I index outlined significant ∑16PAHs clusters for the entire region (Moran's I index =0.62, Z-score = 25.6). Anselin Moran's I index specified locations of the significant low/high spatial clusters. The levels of random and structural variance of ∑16PAHs were about 0.083 and 0.154, respectively. Nugget to sill ratio confirmed that ∑16PAHs has a moderate level of spatial structure and the major part of PAHs variability is not random. Prediction and standard error maps of ∑16PAHs, produced by ordinary kriging, highlighted that more samples should be taken from high cluster region for next studies. Fuzzy logic functions (OR and AND) were used to develop eco-risk maps. It revealed that the potential hazards of PAHs are considerable at the vicinity of petrochemical facilities.

Keywords: Fuzzy logic; GIS; Geo-statistics; Moran's I; PAHs; Persian gulf.

MeSH terms

  • Fuzzy Logic*
  • Geographic Information Systems*
  • Humans
  • Indian Ocean
  • Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons* / analysis
  • Spatial Analysis

Substances

  • Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons