Cognitive and noncognitive predictors of success

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 19;116(47):23499-23504. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1910510116. Epub 2019 Nov 4.

Abstract

When predicting success, how important are personal attributes other than cognitive ability? To address this question, we capitalized on a full decade of prospective, longitudinal data from n = 11,258 cadets entering training at the US Military Academy at West Point. Prior to training, cognitive ability was negatively correlated with both physical ability and grit. Cognitive ability emerged as the strongest predictor of academic and military grades, but noncognitive attributes were more prognostic of other achievement outcomes, including successful completion of initiation training and 4-y graduation. We conclude that noncognitive aspects of human capital deserve greater attention from both scientists and practitioners interested in predicting real-world success.

Keywords: achievement; cognitive ability; graduation; grit; military.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Academic Success*
  • Academies and Institutes
  • Achievement*
  • Adult
  • Attitude*
  • Cognition*
  • Educational Status*
  • Forecasting
  • Goals
  • Humans
  • Intelligence
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Military Personnel / psychology*
  • Motivation
  • Physical Endurance*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Students / psychology*
  • Young Adult