The Predictive Value of Pre-/Postneoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy MRI Characteristics for Patient Outcomes in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Abstract

Rationale and objectives: This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of pre-/postneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) characteristics for the long-term survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

Materials and methods: We retrospectively evaluated pre- and post-nCRT MRI and clinicopathologic characteristics of LARC patients. The 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier product-limit method. Associations between MRI variabilities and survival outcomes were assessed using Cox proportional hazards model.

Results: In total, 171 LARC patients (112 men and 59 women) with a median age of 55 years (range, 27-82 years) treated with nCRT were evaluated. The median follow-up was 47.6 months, and the 3-, 4-, and 5-year DFS in the overall cohort was 76.6%, 74.5%, and 73.7%, respectively. MRI assessment of extramural venous invasion (mrEMVI) positivity was a significant independent adverse factor of long-term survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.589, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.398-4.794, p = 0.002) on multivariate analysis. Patients with positive mrEMVI had significantly lower 3-year DFS than those with negative mrEMVI (52.6 months vs 65.1 months; p = 0.003). Moreover, the tumor regression grade on MRI (mrTRG) also significantly correlated with survival outcomes in patients with LARC. Patients with partial response on post-nCRT MRI (mrPR) showed short DFS than those with complete response (mrCR; HR = 4.914, 95% CI = 1.176-20.533, p = 0.029). The 3-year DFS of mrCR and mrPR patients were 74.3 months and 58.9 months, respectively (p = 0.011).

Conclusion: The pre-/post-nCRT MRI characteristics may be used to long-term survival stratification in LARC patients. mrEMVI positivity was an independent adverse prognostic indicator for 3-year DFS. Further, mrTRG may also be a predictive factor for the prognosis of LARC patients. The pre-/post-nCRT MR imaging may offer more information for providing individualized treatment.

Keywords: Disease-free survival; Extramural vascular invasion; Locally advanced rectal cancer; Magnetic resonance imaging; Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.