Value-based healthcare in ischemic stroke care: case-mix adjustment models for clinical and patient-reported outcomes

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2019 Dec 5;19(1):229. doi: 10.1186/s12874-019-0864-z.

Abstract

Background: Patient-Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) have been proposed for benchmarking health care quality across hospitals, which requires extensive case-mix adjustment. The current study's aim was to develop and compare case-mix models for mortality, a functional outcome, and a patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) in ischemic stroke care.

Methods: Data from ischemic stroke patients, admitted to four stroke centers in the Netherlands between 2014 and 2016 with available outcome information (N = 1022), was analyzed. Case-mix adjustment models were developed for mortality, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores and EQ-5D index scores with respectively binary logistic, proportional odds and linear regression models with stepwise backward selection. Predictive ability of these models was determined with R-squared (R2) and area-under-the-receiver-operating-characteristic-curve (AUC) statistics.

Results: Age, NIHSS score on admission, and heart failure were the only common predictors across all three case-mix adjustment models. Specific predictors for the EQ-5D index score were sex (β = 0.041), socio-economic status (β = - 0.019) and nationality (β = - 0.074). R2-values for the regression models for mortality (5 predictors), mRS score (9 predictors) and EQ-5D utility score (12 predictors), were respectively R2 = 0.44, R2 = 0.42 and R2 = 0.37.

Conclusions: The set of case-mix adjustment variables for the EQ-5D at three months differed considerably from the set for clinical outcomes in stroke care. The case-mix adjustment variables that were specific to this PROM were sex, socio-economic status and nationality. These variables should be considered in future attempts to risk-adjust for PROMs during benchmarking of hospitals.

Keywords: Case-mix; Ischemic stroke; Patient-reported outcome measure; Risk adjustment model; Value-based healthcare.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Brain Ischemia / complications
  • Brain Ischemia / mortality
  • Brain Ischemia / therapy*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Linear Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Odds Ratio
  • Patient Reported Outcome Measures*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • ROC Curve
  • Recovery of Function
  • Risk Adjustment*
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / mortality
  • Stroke / therapy*
  • Survival Rate