Preoperative CA19-9 levels predict disease-free survival and overall survival in pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients after resection

Transl Cancer Res. 2019 Jun;8(3):811-820. doi: 10.21037/tcr.2019.04.24.

Abstract

Background: This study investigates the association between the preoperative serum CA19-9 and the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT), and its impact on survival in patients undergoing curative resection for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC).

Methods: From January 01, 2015 to June 30, 2017, we retrospectively reviewed 421 PAC patients who underwent radical resection. The association between preoperative CA19-9 and disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model.

Results: A total of 354 patients eligible for this study were classified into three groups according to preoperative CA19-9: G1 (≤87 U/mL), G2 (87-322 U/mL) and G3 (>322 U/mL), in tertiles. Multivariable analysis showed preoperative CA19-9 and adjuvant CT were both independent predictors of DFS and OS. Subgroup analyses showed the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of DFS for patients treated with adjuvant CT were 0.54 (95% CI, 0.33-0.86), 0.63 (95% CI, 0.40-0.97) and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.21-0.49) in G1, G2 and G3, respectively. A trend of decreasing HR of recurrence risk was observed in the higher preoperative CA 19-9 group treated with CT.

Conclusions: High preoperative CA19-9 is an emerging biomarker that identifies a more aggressive PAC subgroup, which might benefit more from postoperative CT.

Keywords: CA19-9; adjuvant chemotherapy CT; pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC); prognosis.