Histological pancreatic findings correlate with computed tomography attenuation and predict postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy

Abstract

Background: Although a soft pancreas is a widely-accepted reliable risk factor for postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), there is no established preoperative evaluation of pancreatic texture.

Methods: Two hundred thirty-seven patients who underwent PD with histological pancreatic assessment were retrospectively enrolled. The degree of fibrosis and fatty infiltration was scored histologically as seven grades and five grades, respectively. Computed tomography (CT) attenuation of the pancreas was measured on preoperative unenhanced CT images. Correlations between the CT attenuation of the pancreas and the histological pancreatic findings, and the development of POPF were analyzed.

Results: The fibrosis grade was significantly higher for hard pancreas than for soft pancreas (p < 0.001), whereas the fatty infiltration grade was similar between the two types (p = 0.161). CT attenuation of the pancreas was inversely correlated with both fibrosis grade (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient ([r] = -0.609, p < 0.001) and fatty infiltration grade (r = -0.382, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that body mass index ≥25 kg/m² (odds ratio [OR]: 5.64, p < 0.001) and fibrosis grade ≤2 (OR: 18.0, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for clinically significant POPF.

Conclusion: Histological pancreatic texture can be evaluated with CT attenuation and might be helpful in preoperatively predicting the development of POPF after PD.