How useful are body mass index and history of diabetes in COVID-19 risk stratification?

PLoS One. 2022 Apr 7;17(4):e0265473. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0265473. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Objective: This study examines the value of risk stratification by documented diagnosis of diabetes and objectively measured height and weight (BMI) in COVID-19 severity and mortality in a large sample of patients in an urban hospital located in Southern California.

Methods: Data from a retrospective cohort study of COVID-19 patients treated at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center between March 8, 2020, and January 25, 2021, was analyzed. Sociodemographic characteristics and pre-existing conditions were extracted from electronic medical records. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models identified associated risk factors, and a regression causal mediation analysis examined the role of diabetes in the association between obesity and illness severity. All analyses were stratified by age (<65 and ≥65).

Results: Among individuals <65yo, diabetes accounted for 19-30% of the associations between obesity and COVID-19 illness severity. Among patients ≥65yo, having a BMI <18.5 was a risk factor for mortality regardless of diabetes history.

Conclusion: Our findings have clinical implications in documenting which patients may be at elevated risk for adverse outcomes. More in-depth prospective studies are needed to capture how glycemic regulation may influence prognosis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Body Mass Index
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Obesity / complications
  • Obesity / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2