L-shaped association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and all-cause mortality of individuals with rheumatoid arthritis

Abstract

Objective: We aimed to examine the relationship between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and all-cause, cause-specific mortality of patients with RA.

Methods: This cohort study included 1466 patients with RA from The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2001-14. Mortality status was obtained according to death certificate records from the National Death Index. Cox proportional risk models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI for mortality. A generalized additive model, smooth curve fitting and 2-piecewise Cox proportional hazards models were established to address the nonlinearity between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and mortality.

Results: A total of 1466 patients [mean (s.d.) 59.89 (14.14) years old; 58.94% female] were enrolled. The weighted mean level of 25-hydroxyvitamin D was 59.26 (24.99) nmol/l and 38.95% were found with deficient (or severe deficient) vitamin D (<50.00 nmol/l). During 10453 person-years of follow-up, 268 patients were documented for all-cause death, including 52 cardiovascular disease （CVD）deaths and 48 cancer deaths. Compared with patients with serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D <25.00 nmol/l, patients with higher serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D were more likely to have lower rate of all-cause mortality. Nonlinear and L-shaped association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and all-cause mortality was found, and decreased serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D <37.30 nmol/l [HR 0.95 (0.92, 0.98); P < 0.01].

Conclusion: An L-shaped association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and all-cause mortality was found among patients with RA, indicating that serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D should be improved to a certain level for the prevention of premature death.

Keywords: 25-hydroxyvitamin D; RA; mortality.