Predicting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) 30-days mortality: Using standardised mortality ratio (SMR) as the hospital performance measure

Int J Med Inform. 2022 Dec:168:104865. doi: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2022.104865. Epub 2022 Sep 18.

Abstract

Background: A standardised mortality ratio (SMR) is the hospital observed mortality divided by its predicted mortality and has been used as an indicator to monitor hospital performance.

Objectives: This study developed a model that predicted 30-day mortality for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and compared the SMR among 41 Malaysian public hospitals using statistical process control charts.

Methods & results: Data from referral centres and specialist hospitals with cardiology services were analysed. Both referral centres and specialist hospitals had comparable mortality, except for Hospitals A and B, which the study considered outliers. Two-thirds of the remaining hospitals had an SMR of above one (SMR 1.05-1.51), but the indices were still within the expected variations.

Conclusion: The SMR coupled with a funnel plot and variable life adjusted display (VLAD) can identify hospitals with potentially higher than expected mortality rates.

Keywords: Acute myocardial infarction; Funnel plot; In-hospital mortality; Standardised mortality; Variable life-adjusted display.

MeSH terms

  • Hospitals, Public
  • Humans
  • Myocardial Infarction*