Omicron Waves in Argentina: Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Lineages BA.1, BA.2 and the Emerging BA.2.12.1 and BA.4/BA.5

Viruses. 2023 Jan 22;15(2):312. doi: 10.3390/v15020312.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has lately been driven by Omicron. This work aimed to study the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineages during the third and fourth waves of COVID-19 in Argentina. Molecular surveillance was performed on 3431 samples from Argentina, between EW44/2021 and EW31/2022. Sequencing, phylogenetic and phylodynamic analyses were performed. A differential dynamic between the Omicron waves was found. The third wave was associated with lineage BA.1, characterized by a high number of cases, very fast displacement of Delta, doubling times of 3.3 days and a low level of lineage diversity and clustering. In contrast, the fourth wave was longer but associated with a lower number of cases, initially caused by BA.2, and later by BA.4/BA.5, with doubling times of about 10 days. Several BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 sublineages and introductions were detected, although very few clusters with a constrained geographical distribution were observed, suggesting limited transmission chains. The differential dynamic could be due to waning immunity and an increase in population gatherings in the BA.1 wave, and a boosted population (for vaccination or recent prior immunity for BA.1 infection) in the wave caused by BA2/BA.4/BA.5, which may have limited the establishment of the new lineages.

Keywords: BA.1; BA.2; BA.4; BA.5; Omicron; SARS-CoV-2; South America; dynamics; evolution; variants.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Argentina / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Pandemics
  • Phylogeny
  • SARS-CoV-2* / genetics

Grants and funding

The sequencing strategy was supported by Proyecto IP COVID-19 N°08 (Ministerio de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación, Argentina) and Focem COF 03/11 Covid-19 (Fondo para la Convergencia Estructural del MERCOSUR).