Trends in Adolescent Firearm-Related Injury: A Time Series Analysis

Am Surg. 2023 Aug;89(8):3429-3432. doi: 10.1177/00031348231157905. Epub 2023 Mar 14.

Abstract

Background: Firearm-related injury (FRI) became the leading cause of death among children/adolescents in 2019.

Purpose: This study sought to determine changes over time in the population of adolescents affected by FRI in Atlanta, Georgia, such that high risk cohorts could be identified.

Research design: City-wide retrospective cohort review.

Study sample: Adolescent victims (age 11-21 years of age) of FRI, defined by ICD9/10 codes, in Atlanta, Georgia.

Data analysis: Descriptive, multivariate and time series analysis.

Results: There were 1,453 adolescent FRI victims in this time period, predominantly Black (86%) and male (86.6%). Unintentional injury was higher among ages 11-14 years (43.1%) compared to 15-17 years (10.2%) and 18-21 years (9.3%) (P < .01). FRI affecting females increased at a rate of 8.1 injuries/year (P < .01), and unintentional injuries increased at by 7.6/year (P < .01). Mortality declined from 16% in 2016 to 7.7% in 2021.

Conclusion: Our data provides evidence for firearm policy reform. Interventions should target prevention of intentional injury among AQ4 females and seek to reverse the trend in unintentional injuries.

Keywords: acute care surgery; trauma; trauma acute care.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Child
  • Female
  • Firearms*
  • Georgia / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Time Factors
  • Wounds, Gunshot* / epidemiology
  • Young Adult