Prognostic value of baseline metabolic tumor volume (MTV) for forecasting chemotherapy outcome in early-stage unfavorable Hodgkin lymphoma: Data from the phase III HD17 trial

Abstract

Objectives: The prognostic relevance of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) having recently been demonstrated in patients with early-stage favorable and advanced-stage Hodgkin lymphoma. The current study aimed to assess the potential prognostic value of ¹⁸ F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in early-stage unfavorable Hodgkin lymphoma patients treated within the German Hodgkin Study Group HD17 trial.

Methods: ¹⁸ F-FDG PET/CT images were available for MTV analysis in 154 cases. We used three different threshold methods (SUV_2.5 , SUV_4.0 , and SUV_41% ) to calculate MTV. Receiver-operating-characteristic analysis was performed to describe the value of these parameters in predicting an adequate therapy response. Therapy response was evaluated as PET negativity after 2 cycles of eBEACOPP followed by 2 cycles of ABVD.

Results: All three threshold methods analyzed for MTV showed a positive correlation with the PET response after chemotherapy. Areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.70 (95% CI 0.53-0.87) and 0.65 (0.50-0.80) using the fixed thresholds of SUV_4.0 and SUV_2.5 , respectively, for MTV- calculation. The calculation of MTV using a relative threshold of SUV_41% showed an AUC of 0.63 (0.47-0.79).

Conclusions: MTV does have predictive value after chemotherapy in early-stage unfavorable Hodgkin lymphoma, particularly when the fixed threshold of SUV_4.0 is used for MTV calculation.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01356680.

Keywords: FDG PET; Hodgkin lymphoma; metabolic tumor volume; response prediction.