Preoperative prognostic model for localized and locally advanced renal cell carcinoma: Michinoku Japan Urological Cancer Study Group

Abstract

Background: The Modified International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Dataset Consortium model (mIMDC) is a preoperative prognostic model for pT3cN0M0 renal cell carcinoma (RCC). This study aimed to validate the mIMDC and to construct a new model in a localized and locally advanced RCC (LLRCC).

Methods: A database was established (the Michinoku Japan Urological Cancer Study Group database) consisting of 79 patients who were clinically diagnosed with LLRCC (cT3b/c/4NanyM0) and underwent radical nephrectomy from December 2007 to May 2018. Using univariable and multivariable analyses, we retrospectively analyzed disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in this database, constructed a new prognostic model according to these results, and estimated the model fit using c-index on the new and mIMDC models.

Results: Independent poorer prognostic factors for both DFS and OS include the following: ≥ 1 Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, 2.0 mg/dL C-reactive protein, and > upper normal limit of white blood cell count. The median DFS in the favorable (no factor), intermediate (one factor), and poor-risk group (two or three factors) was 76.1, 14.3, and 4.0 months, respectively (P < 0.001). The 3-year OS in the favorable, intermediate, and poor-risk group were 92%, 44%, and 0%, respectively (P < 0.001). The c-indices of the new and mIMDC models were 0.67 and 0.60 for DFS (P = 0.060) and 0.74 and 0.63 for OS (P = 0.012), respectively.

Conclusion: The new preoperative prognostic model in LLRCC can be used in patient care and clinical trials.

Keywords: Localized and locally advanced renal cell carcinoma; Nephrectomy; Overall survival; Prognostic model; Recurrence-free survival; Renal cell carcinoma.