No association between inactivated influenza vaccination and influenza viral load at diagnosis among young Japanese children: An observational study of the 2013/2014 through 2017/2018 influenza seasons

Abstract

Background: The association between inactivated influenza vaccination and viral load in young children remains unclear.

Methods: During the 2013/2014 to 2017/2018 influenza seasons in Japan, children under 6 years of age with pre-defined influenza-like illness and influenza-positive status by real-time RT-PCR were recruited at pediatric clinics for this observational study. Influenza viral load was measured for the most predominant subtype/lineage in each season. Using median dichotomized viral load as an outcome, a multilevel logistic regression model was applied to estimate the multivariable adjusted odds ratio (MOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for higher viral load.

Results: A total of 1,185 influenza-positive children were analyzed. The median log₁₀ viral load copy number (copies per milliliter) was 5.5 (interquartile range, 4.6 to 6.1) and did not differ by vaccination status: 5.5 for unvaccinated, 5.7 for one dose, and 5.5 for two doses (p = 0.67). The MOR of vaccinated (one or two doses) versus unvaccinated children was 1.19 (95% CI: 0.86-1.64). Other factors showing significant associations with higher viral load were positive results for A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) in comparison with B/Yamagata. The respective MORs were 3.25 (95% CI: 2.28-4.64) and 1.81 (95% CI: 1.32-2.49). Significantly elevated MORs against higher viral load were also observed for higher body temperature at influenza diagnosis and shorter duration from fever onset to specimen collection.

Conclusion: No association was observed between inactivated-influenza vaccination and viral load at influenza-positive diagnosis. Influenza subtype/lineage, body temperature, and time elapsed since fever onset were significantly associated with viral load.

Keywords: fever; flu vaccine; influenza viral load; young children.