Partial substitution of red meat or processed meat with plant-based foods and the risk of colorectal cancer

Eur J Epidemiol. 2024 Apr;39(4):419-428. doi: 10.1007/s10654-024-01096-7. Epub 2024 Jan 23.

Abstract

Objectives: Shifting from animal-based to plant-based diets could reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence. Currently, the impacts of these dietary shifts on CRC risk are ill-defined. Therefore, we examined partial substitutions of red or processed meat with whole grains, vegetables, fruits or a combination of these in relation to CRC risk in Finnish adults.

Methods: We pooled five Finnish cohorts, resulting in 43 788 participants aged ≥ 25 years (79% men). Diet was assessed by validated food frequency questionnaires at study enrolment. We modelled partial substitutions of red (100 g/week) or processed meat (50 g/week) with corresponding amounts of plant-based foods. Cohort-specific hazard ratios (HR) for CRC were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models and pooled together using random-effects models. Adjustments included age, sex, energy intake and other relevant confounders.

Results: During the median follow-up of 28.8 years, 1124 CRCs were diagnosed. We observed small risk reductions when red meat was substituted with vegetables (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95 - 0.99), fruits (0.97, 0.94 - 0.99), or whole grains, vegetables and fruits combined (0.97, 0.95 - 0.99). For processed meat, these substitutions yielded 1% risk reductions. Substituting red or processed meat with whole grains was associated with a decreased CRC risk only in participants with < median whole grain intake (0.92, 0.86 - 0.98; 0.96, 0.93 - 0.99, respectively; pinteraction=0.001).

Conclusions: Even small, easily implemented substitutions of red or processed meat with whole grains, vegetables or fruits could lower CRC risk in a population with high meat consumption. These findings broaden our insight into dietary modifications that could foster CRC primary prevention.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Fruit; Nutrition; Sustainability; Vegetable; Whole grain.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Animals
  • Cohort Studies
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / epidemiology
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / etiology
  • Diet / adverse effects
  • Diet / statistics & numerical data
  • Diet, Vegetarian
  • Female
  • Finland / epidemiology
  • Fruit*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Meat Products / adverse effects
  • Middle Aged
  • Red Meat* / adverse effects
  • Risk Factors
  • Vegetables
  • Whole Grains