Background: Lymphopenia is known for its significance on poor survivals in breast cancer patients. Considering full dosimetric data, this study aimed to develop and validate predictive models for lymphopenia after radiotherapy (RT) in breast cancer.
Material and methods: Patients with breast cancer treated with adjuvant RT were eligible in this multicenter study. The study endpoint was lympopenia, defined as the reduction in absolute lymphocytes and graded lymphopenia after RT. The dose-volume histogram (DVH) data of related critical structures and clinical factors were taken into account for the development of dense neural network (DNN) predictive models. The developed DNN models were validated using external patient cohorts.
Results: A total of 918 consecutive patients with invasive breast cancer enrolled. The training, testing, and external validating datasets consisted of 589, 203, and 126 patients, respectively. Treatment volumes at nearly all dose levels of the DVH were significant predictors for lymphopenia following RT, including volumes at very low-dose 1 Gy (V1) of organs at risk (OARs) including lung, heart and body, especially ipsilateral-lung V1. A final DNN model, combining full DVH dosimetric parameters of OARs and three key clinical factors, achieved a predictive accuracy of 75 % or higher.
Conclusion: This study demonstrated and externally validated the significance of full dosimetric data, particularly the volume of low dose at as low as 1 Gy of critical structures on lymphopenia after radiation in patients with breast cancer. The significance of V1 deserves special attention, as modern VMAT RT technology often has a relatively high value of this parameter. Further study is warranted for RT plan optimization.
Keywords: Breast cancer; Deep learning; Low-dose volume; Lymphopenia; Radiotherapy (RT).
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