Expression pattern of serum interleukin-7 in elderly septic patients and its prognostic value for predicting short-term mortality

Abstract

Background: The identification of novel prognostic biomarkers in elderly septic patients are essential for the improvement of mortality in sepsis in the context of precision medicine. The purpose of this study was to explore the expression pattern and prognostic value of serum interleukin-7 (IL-7) in predicting 28-day mortality in elderly patients with sepsis.

Methods: Patients were retrospectively enrolled according to the sepsis-3.0 diagnostic criteria and divided into the survival group and non-survival group based on the clinical outcome at the 28-day interval. The baseline characteristic data, samples for the laboratory tests, and the SOFA, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), as well as Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores, were recorded within 24 h after admission to the emergency department. Serum levels of IL-7 and TNF-α of the patients were quantified by the Luminex assay. Spearman correlation analysis, logistic regressive analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis were performed, respectively.

Results: Totally, 220 elderly patients with sepsis were enrolled, 151 of whom died in a 28-day period. Albumin (ALB), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), systolic pressure (SBP), and platelet (PLT) were found to be significantly higher in the survival group (p < 0.05). IL-7 was shown to be correlated with TNF-α in the non-survival group (p = 0.030) but not in the survival group (p = 0.194). No correlation was shown between IL-7 and other factors (p > 0.05). IL-7 and TNF-α were found to be independent risk factors associated with the 28-day mortality (OR = 1.215, 1.420). Combination of IL-7, SOFA and ALB can make an AUROC of 0.874 with the specificity of 90.77 %. Combination of IL-7 and TNF-α can make an AUROC of 0.901 with the sensitivity of 90.41 % while the combination of IL-7, TNF-α, and ALB can make an AUROC of 0.898 with the sensitivity of 94.52 %.

Conclusions: This study highlights the importance of monitoring the serum level of IL-7 and TNF-α in elderly septic patients as well as evaluating the combinations with other routine risk factors which can be potentially used for the identification of elderly septic patients with higher risk of mortality.

Keywords: APACHE II; Albumin; IL-7; SOFA; Sepsis.