Background: The rapid increase in the number of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) procedures in China and worldwide has led to growing attention to hypoattenuating leaflet thickening (HALT) detected during follow-up by 4D-CT. It's reported that HALT may impact the durability of prosthetic valve. Early identification of these patients and timely deployment of anticoagulant therapy are therefore particularly important.
Methods: We retrospectively recruited 234 consecutive patients who underwent TAVR procedure in Fuwai Hospital. We collected clinical information and extracted morphological characteristics parameters of the transcatheter heart valve (THV) post TAVR procedure from 4D-CT. LASSO analysis was conducted to select important features. Three models were constructed, encapsulating clinical factors (Model 1), morphological characteristics parameters (Model 2), and all together (Model 3), to identify patients with HALT. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were plotted to evaluate the discriminatory ability of models. A nomogram for HALT was developed and verified by bootstrap resampling.
Results: In our study patients, Model 3 (AUC = 0.738) showed higher recognition effectiveness compared to Model 1 (AUC = 0.674, p = 0.032) and Model 2 (AUC = 0.675, p = 0.021). Internal bootstrap validation also showed that Model 3 had a statistical power similar to that of the initial stepwise model (AUC = 0.723 95%CI: 0.661-0.786). Overall, Model 3 was rated best for the identification of HALT in TAVR patients.
Conclusion: A comprehensive predictive model combining patient clinical factors with CT-based morphology parameters has superior efficacy in predicting the occurrence of HALT in TAVR patients.
Keywords: Computed tomography; Hypoattenuating leaflet thickening; Nomogram; Transcatheter aortic valve replacement.
Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier B.V.