PD-L1 expression as a potential predictor of immune checkpoint inhibitor efficacy and survival in patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective trials

Abstract

Background: The predictive value of programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the optimal threshold of PD-L1 expression in predicting the efficacy of ICIs in patients with recurrent or metastatic (R/M) NPC.

Methods: A meta-analysis was performed by retrieving relevant literature from PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. Data on the pooled risk ratio (RR), mean overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR) with 95% confidence interval, and 1%, 10%, and 25% PD-L1 expression cutoff points were obtained to examine the role of PD-L1 as a biomarker in R/M NPC patients receiving immunotherapy.

Results: In total, 1,312 patients from 14 studies were included. An improvement in PFS was observed in both patients with PD-L1 ≥ 1% (RR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.62-0.92, P = 0.005) and those with PD-L1 < 1% (RR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.35-1.32, P = 0.26) who received first-line treatment with immunotherapy, with no significant difference between these subgroups. The pooled ORR was significantly higher in patients with PD-L1 ≥ 1% (ORR = 0.37) than in those with PD-L1 < 1% (ORR = 0.22) (P < 0.01) undergoing subsequent-line treatment. However, when we used the PD-L1 cutoff values of 10% and 25%, there was no significant difference between the positive (PD-L1 expression ≥ the cutoff value) and negative (PD-L1 expression < the cutoff value) subgroups. PD-L1 ≥ 1% also tended to be associated with better PFS and OS.

Conclusions: Our meta-analysis suggested that first-line immunotherapy could significantly improve PFS in R/M NPC patients, regardless of the PD-L1 expression levels. Positive PD-L1 expression (≥ 1%) might be a potential predictive biomarker for a better overall response to immunotherapy in R/M NPC patients in subsequent-line setting.

Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42024495841 PROSPERO, identifier CRD42024495841.

Keywords: PD-L1; immune checkpoint inhibitors; meta-analysis; nasopharyngeal carcinoma; recurrence or metastasis.