Nomogram models predicting prognosis for patients with t(8;21) acute myeloid leukemia: a SEER-based study

Hematology. 2024 Dec;29(1):2381169. doi: 10.1080/16078454.2024.2381169. Epub 2024 Jul 24.

Abstract

Background: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with t(8;21) manifests as a diverse hematological malignancy. Although it was categorized into a favorable subtype, 30-40% of patients experience relapse. The objective of this research was to devise a nomogram for the accurate anticipation of both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in t(8;21) AML.

Methods: From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, individuals diagnosed with t(8;21) AML from 2000 to 2018 were selected. Prognostic factors for t(8;21) AML were identified using Cox regression analysis and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), forming the basis for constructing prognostic nomograms.

Results: Key variables, including first primary tumor, age group, race, and chemotherapy, were identified and integrated into the nomogram. The C-index values for the nomograms predicting OS and CSS were 0.753 (validation: 0.765) and 0.764 (validation: 0.757), respectively. Ultimately, based on nomogram scores, patients were stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups, revealing significant disparities in both OS and CSS between these groups (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: This study innovatively crafted nomograms, incorporating clinical and therapeutic variables, to forecast the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates for individuals with t(8;21) AML.

Keywords: SEER; nomogram; prognosis; t(8;21) acute myeloid leukemia.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Chromosomes, Human, Pair 21* / genetics
  • Chromosomes, Human, Pair 8* / genetics
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute* / diagnosis
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute* / genetics
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute* / mortality
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute* / therapy
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Nomograms*
  • Prognosis
  • SEER Program*
  • Translocation, Genetic
  • Young Adult