Global dynamics of a simple model for wild and sterile mosquitoes

Math Biosci Eng. 2024 Sep 5;21(9):7016-7039. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2024308.

Abstract

There are known methods to manage the population dynamics of wild and sterile mosquitoes by releasing genetically engineered sterile mosquitoes. Even if a two-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations is considered as a simple mathematical model for developing release strategies, fully understanding the global behavior of the solutions is challenging, due to the fact that the probability of mating is ratio-dependent. In this paper, we combine a geometric approach called the time-scale transformation and blow-up technique with the center manifold theorem to provide a complete understanding of dynamical systems near the origin. Then, the global behavior of the solution of the two-dimensional ordinary differential equation system is classified in a two-parameter plane represented by the natural death rate of mosquitoes and the sterile mosquito release rate. We also offer a discussion of the sterile mosquito release strategy. In addition, we obtain a better exposition of the previous results on the existence and local stability of positive equilibria. This paper provides a framework for the mathematical analysis of models with ratio-dependent terms, and we expect that it will theoretically withstand the complexity of improved models.

Keywords: center manifold theory; desingularization of vector fields (blow-up); global dynamics; ratio-dependent model; sterile insecticide technique.

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Animals
  • Animals, Genetically Modified
  • Computer Simulation
  • Culicidae* / physiology
  • Female
  • Male
  • Models, Biological
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Mosquito Control / methods
  • Mosquito Vectors / physiology
  • Pest Control, Biological / methods
  • Population Dynamics*