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Page 1
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling.
Swallow B, Birrell P, Blake J, Burgman M, Challenor P, Coffeng LE, Dawid P, De Angelis D, Goldstein M, Hemming V, Marion G, McKinley TJ, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Probert W, Shea K, Villela D, Vernon I. Swallow B, et al. Among authors: shea k. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100547. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100547. Epub 2022 Feb 10. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35180542 Free PMC article.
Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter.
Probert WJ, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Runge MC, Carpenter TE, Dürr S, Garner MG, Harvey N, Stevenson MA, Webb CT, Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Probert WJ, et al. Among authors: shea k. Epidemics. 2016 Jun;15:10-9. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.11.002. Epub 2015 Dec 10. Epidemics. 2016. PMID: 27266845 Free PMC article.
Uncertainty and the management of epidemics.
Shea K, Bjørnstad ON, Krzywinski M, Altman N. Shea K, et al. Nat Methods. 2020 Sep;17(9):867-868. doi: 10.1038/s41592-020-0943-4. Nat Methods. 2020. PMID: 32839598 No abstract available.
Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology.
Howerton E, Runge MC, Bogich TL, Borchering RK, Inamine H, Lessler J, Mullany LC, Probert WJM, Smith CP, Truelove S, Viboud C, Shea K. Howerton E, et al. Among authors: shea k. J R Soc Interface. 2023 Jan;20(198):20220659. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0659. Epub 2023 Jan 25. J R Soc Interface. 2023. PMID: 36695018 Free PMC article.
Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty.
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Del Valle SY, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein EY, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler JE, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman RJ, Pasco R, Pastore Y Piontti A, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White LJ, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari MJ, Pannell D, Tildesley MJ, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Slayton RB, Levander JD, Stazer J, Kerr J, Runge MC. Shea K, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 May 2;120(18):e2207537120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2207537120. Epub 2023 Apr 25. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023. PMID: 37098064 Free PMC article.
Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology.
Milner-Gulland EJ, Shea K. Milner-Gulland EJ, et al. Among authors: shea k. J Appl Ecol. 2017 Dec;54(6):2063-2068. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12887. Epub 2017 Mar 9. J Appl Ecol. 2017. PMID: 29225369 Free PMC article.
885 results